Football betting is the most common type of gambling in sports books. We all have access to stats and pundits views for almost every game thanks to a lot of TV coverage. Why is it that football bettors lose so often throughout the season?
They make poor selections and place the wrong types of bets. The match can only have three outcomes, win-lose, draw, and everyone likes to think they know something about the game พนันบอลออนไลน์. So where is it all going wrong?
Poor Value Bets
You will find large posters that advertise “Offers”, such as “Newcastle to defeat Wigan”, “Owen to be the first goal scorer PS100” and “Newcastle to win Wigan”. You might think Newcastle will defeat Wigan, and you may be right. However, if you are a football expert you’ll know that Michael Owen can score a few goals. The chances of these two happening simultaneously is slim.
Do you think the bookies would plaster it everywhere they could so punters could back them if they thought it was a great bet? It’s not. This is a trick to make people spend money on bets that will almost always win them money. If you want to improve your chances of winning, it’s a bad bet. Avoid them.
I would be a millionaire if I had a pound to pay for each time someone filled in a football coupon. This is a bad value bet and a sure way to lose your money.
While it may seem tempting to pick an accumulator, the bookmakers are enamored with them. How many times have you been disappointed by a bet such as this? It’s likely that you have lost more than once, because of the high odds of losing a bet such as this.
Social bettors often place bets “for just a little bit of fun and excitement” and only stake small amounts. It’s much more enjoyable when you win. You can increase your chances of winning by placing multiple bets, even if you pick five, six, or seven selections. Although the odds of winning multiple bets are still in your favor, if you place a treble or four-timer wager you have at least a chance to clear your stake and make a profit if one of your selections comes up.
We advise you to avoid multiples and instead bet on singles. Although a PS5 single at 2/1 might only make you a PS10 profit, it’s still better than placing the same amount on eight results and only seeing one or two results that you like.
The Premier League is so well-known and covered by mass media that the vast majority of football bets are placed on these matches. Bets on lower division matches can be profitable, especially when you consider current form and include injuries to key strikers or defenders.
Let’s say Bury is away to Morecambe, and both are in the middle of the table. In such a scenario, the odds calculators will place the home team slightly more likely to win than the away team. The odds of the away side winning are around 7/4 or greater. What if Morecambe lose their top striker and four of their regular players are suspended?
These teams are not like teams in the Premier League or Championship. They don’t have large squads and can’t replace stars with players of similar quality.
This should give Bury a strong team advantage. It’s also more likely that the odds compiler will focus on big games where more money has been placed, rather than looking at Bury v Morecambe too closely.
This could mean that the odds of Bury winning aren’t changed. However, punters who were smart enough to read the form can now place a value bet.
Many instances like these will occur throughout the season. If you focus on the lower divisions, you can take advantage of them and increase your chances of winning.